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20121201
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inflation. i like oil, remind you it's an international market kind of driven by the chinese, not us, if eog resources goes down, consider that company as a place to put your money. remember, mark papa yesterday. and people want to sell the drug stocks on decline. here i'm not sure. sellers are worried that the government may be negotiating with the drug companies. you know what is probably really going on? i think that drug stocks have big dividends and after tax return on dividends will come down sharply after we go off the cliff. that was part of the deal of the cliff. what's not getting hit as hard as you would expect? how about companies that have marginal exposure to united states but are much more involved with china? you could see joy global keep its gains. that company's mining equipment is more dependent on a resurgent china than a possible slowing of the united states. we're cutting back on coal anyway. what's the most worrisome thing on the whole decline? that this is really day one in recognition that the ceos were had here, the foils to james dean's rebel without a cause triump
on several huge international themes. energy, conversation, natural gas use, aerospace, health care for worldwide aging population. i expect ge to be very upbeat. i think jeff immelt's going to tell a good story. some of that's because the company just boosted its dividend by 12% today p. you don't do that if you're doing poorly. the meeting will be the most talked about event of the day, maybe even the week other than the fiscal cliff. next up, oracle reports on tuesday after the close. i normally like oracle going to earnings. i heard so many rumblings of a better than expected quarter that it makes me nervous given the stock rallied some 25% on the year. the quarter's got to be lights out or we can see beatdown. wednesday morning we get a result from the exact opposite of oracle's general mills. nothing like -- this one just kind of goes up a little bit each quarter, delivers superior returns over a long period of time. and allows you to sleep at night. general mills hasn't done anything of late. but do you pocket that fine dividend, hold on, leisurely ride. stephanie link and i
crisis is upon us. which means there will be more money going to building and fixing up homes in 2013 than there was in 2012. so that means there will be up comparisons, and that's good. there will be sure to buy housing-related play into the fiscal cliff jump if we get one next week. oh, and i'm including banks. they've really taken off here, too. in large part that is because the housing crisis is over. how about the rest of the world's growth? not that long ago we heard very smart short sellers write off both china and europe it was on a year ago that italy and greece would be following in disaster. of course, they subsequently turned out to be the single best places to invest for fixed income in the world. not only did the sky not fall, but you had to do some serious buying to keep up with the others around the world. that's still the case. we have been buying an etf for my travel trust. was there a more uniform agreement than the idea that the euro had to die and the weaker countries were going into a depression? i think they'll have slow growth for years. we know a ton of countr
not knowing what awaits us, we got a whole new school springing up as represented by my friend doug kass, who writes on real money pro. doug told "the new york times" in a piece that led today's business section that one of the biggest stock market worries, the pain from higher capital gains and dividend taxes would barely have an impact on the market. because so few individuals have taxable accounts. only 14.7% down from 23.9%. doug's calling it a canard. and others say the job cuts for 2013, which seems to be put as many as two million to be made jobless won't be as fast or as high. plus the tax increase can be rolled back. in other words, a deal will eventually be reached, so why bother to sell. okay, so the "it's all overdone" crowd may have a role to play here. particularly because it turned out that when we got a deal to avert the debt ceiling back in the summer of 2011, we caught a gigantic rally. it was a mistake to sell. this is debt ceiling two. let me tell you where i come out. while nothing is irreparable when putting things back together if we go over the cliff, i'm getting worri
Search Results 0 to 3 of about 4

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